Check out the American Action Market.
Some of the contracts traded on AAM will be based on objective data and observable events, as on a horse track, e.g.Posted by cradle at August 1, 2003 12:30 PM
- the next White House lie to break into the news
- the next country the White House will threaten, and when
- the next foreign leader to move from the CIA payroll to White House "most wanted" list
- the lifespan of various DARPA projects, such as Total Information Awareness [site] and Babylon [site]
- the first White House staffer to resign in disgrace, and when