HOW THEY FARED: Overview |
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Jim Meil and Arun Raha of Eaton took the top rank among forecasters. See details in a related article.
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Forecasts from survey conducted June 14-21, 2004. Actual numbers as of Dec. 2004.
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GDP : Avg. Q1-Q3 2004
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Closest forecasts:
Paul Kasriel (3.9%)
Nicholas Perna (3.9%)
David Resler (3.9%)
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CPI : Nov. 2004
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Closest forecasts:
Ethan Harris (3.5%),
Jim Meil/Arun Raha (3.5%),
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Jobless Rate : Nov. 2004
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Closest forecasts:
Twenty-way tie (5.4%)
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Three-Month Treasury
Bill : Dec. 31, 2004 |
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Closest forecast:
Three-way tie (2.20%)
Richard Berner/David Greenlaw (2.22%)
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10-Year Treasury
Note : Dec. 31, 2004 |
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Closest forecast:
James F. Smith (4.53%)
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Dollar vs. Euro (in
dollars) : Dec. 31, 2004 |
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Closest forecast:
David Rosenberg ($1.33)
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Dollar vs. Yen : IDec. 31, 2004
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Closest forecast:
Paul Kasriel (¥102)
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